Agenda item

Agenda item

Medium Term Financial Plan

The report of the Chief Executive and the Deputy Chief Executive and City Treasurer is now attached.

Minutes:

The report of the Chief Executive and City Treasurer set out the revenue budget proposals for 2020/210 based on the outcome of the Provisional Local Government Finance Settlement and the issues which needed to be taken into account prior to the Council finalising the budget and setting the Council Tax for 2020/21.

 

In March 2019, as part of setting the 2019/20 budget, it had been anticipated that there would be a government spending review in 2019/20 and that the local government finance would then return to a three-year budget cycle starting in 2020/21. That had not happened, and the announcements for 2020/21 funding levels had again been for one year only, therefore the proposed budget was for 2020/21 only. The report outlined the key changes in funding that had been part of the government’s funding announcements. New budget pressures had arisen, revised savings and cost recovery proposals had been developed, and further sources of money had been identified or grants provided. The total saving and efficiencies target being proposed for 2020/21 was £7.5m. The 2020/21 budget now being put forward had a total funding requirement of £665.1m, compared to the original 2019/20 budget requirement of £610.835m. The comparison of the two proposals being:

 

Table 1 - Comparison of Budgets

2019/20

Original

£0000

2019/20

Revised

£000

2020/21

Proposed

£000

Resources Available:

 

 

Business Rates Related Funding

314,653

314,653

339,547

Council Tax

166,507

166,507

174,465

Other non ring fenced Grants

54,426

65,752

66,717

Dividends and Use of Airport Reserve

62,390

62,390

62,890

Use of Other Reserves

12,859

12,859

21,481

Total Resources Available

610,835

622,161

665,100

Resources Required:

 

 

 

Corporate Costs:

 

 

 

Levies and Statutory Charge

69,990

69,990

71,327

Contingency

1,600

850

860

Capital Financing

44,507

44,507

44,507

Transfer to Reserves

7,067

18,393

18,338

Sub-Total Corporate Costs

123,164

133,740

135,032

Directorate Costs:

 

 

 

Additional Allowances and other pension costs

10,030

10,030

9,580

Insurance Costs

2,004

2,004

2,004

Inflationary Pressures and budgets to be allocated

9,945

1,764

10,271

Directorate Budgets

465,692

474,623

508,213

Sub - Total Directorate Costs

487,671

488,421

530,068

Total Resources Required

610,835

622,161

665,100

Shortfall / (surplus)

0

0

0

 

This budget was based on the assumption that the Council’s element of Council Tax would increase by 1.99% along with a further 2% specifically for adult social care. When the Greater Manchester Council Tax precept increases were added to the Council’s own the total increase for Manchester’s Council Tax Payers was anticipated as being 4.78%.

 

The assumption for the council tax collection rate was 96.5%. This was based on historic trends in collection as council tax due in the current year will continue to be collected over a number of years.

 

The report explained that the Government issued a written ministerial statement detailing new business rates reliefs for 2020/21. That had increased retail relief from 33% to 50% and included an extension of the relief to music venues and cinemas, as well as the continuation of pub and local newspaper relief. The additional relief was forecast to be £3.02m and would be reimbursed by Section 31 grant from the government.

 

The report provided a breakdown of the other non-ringfenced grants and contributions included in the budget and the issues around the most significant grants and contributions were described.

 

Table 2 - Other Non-Ringfenced Grants and Contributions

2020/21

£000

Better Care Fund (Improved)

30,815

Children's and Adult's Social Care Grant

17,564

New Homes Bonus

8,864

Contribution from MHCC

4,000

Education Services Grant

1,260

Housing Benefit Admin Subsidy

2,514

Council Tax Support Admin Subsidy

863

Care Act Grants

162

Business Rates Returned Levy

675

Total Non Ring-Fenced Grants

66,717

 

The report then considered the expenditure proposals. The forecast of levy payments the Council would have to make to other authorities in 2020/21 was:

 

 Table 3 - Levies

2020/21

£000

Transport  Levy

37,476

GMCA Waste Services

30,051

Environment Agency

224

Probation (Residual Debt)

15

Magistrates Court (Residual Debt)

9

Port Health Authority

71

Net Cost of Levies

67,846

Potential Payment to GMCA

3,481

Total

71,327

 

Although included within the table of levies, the Waste Levy was administered by the Neighbourhoods Directorate and would be included within the Directorate’s budget.

 

It was explained that the potential payment to GMCA related to the bus reform proposals that were under consideration at this time (Minute Exe/19/101). The financial case for the bus reform proposals included a full assessment of how the GMCA could afford to make and operate the proposed scheme. The Council’s potential share of the local authority element of the overall support package had been assessed as £3.481m.

 

A proposed contingency provision of £0.86m included £0.26m in relation to risks around the waste levy and collection and £0.6m as an unallocated contingency to meet future unforeseen expenses.

 

The proposed Insurance costs of £2.004m related to the cost of external insurance policies as well as contributions to the insurance fund reserve for self-insured risks.

 

The capital financing budget of £44.507m would support the costs of borrowing including interest costs and the minimum revenue provision, plus contributions to the capital financing reserve for revenue funding of the programme. Of this £25.114m would be funded by interest received on loans made by the Council to Manchester Airport Group and other partner organisations.

 

Specific transfers to reserves of £18.338m in 2020/21 were being proposed, and those were listed in the report.

 

Allowances of £9.58m had also been made for retired staff and teachers’ pensions to meet the cost of added-years payments awarded to former employees.

 

The report explained the main assumptions that had been made when calculating provision to be made for inflation and other anticipated costs. These could not, at this point in time, be allocated to Directorate or other budgets. They would instead be allocated throughout the coming year. The total provision being proposed was £10.271m, broken down into:

 

Table 4 - Inflationary pressures and budgets to be allocated 

2020/21

£000

Non Pay Inflation

2,361

Pay Inflation including national living wage

6,520

Pension Contribution reduction

-800

Apprenticeship Levy 0.5%

900

Capacity for further budget pressures (including domestic violence)

1,000

Digital City work

250

Contribution to Cemeteries Reserve

40

Total

10,271

 

The allocation relating to the pooled budget had been included within Adult Social Care cash-limit budget as follows:

 

Table 5 - Inflationary pressures and budgets to be allocated in the Pooled Budget

2020/21

£000

National Living Wage

4,400

Pay inflation

1,530

Non-pay inflation

2,413

 

The proposals for the Directorates’ cash limit budgets were detailed in the Directorate Budgets 2020/21 reports that were also being considered at the meeting (Minute Exe/20/16 below). The overall position was:

 

Table 6 – Departmental Cash Limit Budgets

Gross

2020/21

£000

Net

2020/21

£000

Children’s Services

464,099

130,320

MHCC Pooled Budget

267,787

216,864

Adult Social Care - Services out of scope of Pooled Budget

7,243

4,389

Homelessness

36,459

15,285

Corporate Core

310,196

69,960

Neighbourhood  Directorate

164,204

63,751

Growth and Development

55,314

7,644

Total

1,305,302

508,213

 

The figures in the table for the Neighbourhood Directorate do not include the waste levy of £30.051m as that is shown above in Table 3 above.

 

The report explained that the Council holds a number of reserves, all of which, aside from the General Fund Reserve, had been set aside to meet specific future expenditure or risks. A fundamental review of all the reserves held had been carried out as part of the budget setting process. The reserves include:

·         Reserves that have been identified to directly support the proposed budget position

·         Statutory reserves – such as the Bus Lane and Parking Reserves, where the use of these monies is defined in statute

·         PFI Reserves – held to meet costs across the life of the PFI schemes

·         Reserves to offset risk and manage volatility – such as the Insurance Fund Reserve, and reserves to smooth volatility in for example adult social care placements due to winter pressures

·         Schools reserves – schools funding which the Council cannot utilise

·         Reserves held to support capital schemes

·         Reserves to support economic growth and public sector reform

·         Grants and contributions which fall across more than one year – following local authority accounting standards these are held in a reserve

 

The report set out the planned use of reserves in 2020/21 to support revenue expenditure. It also explained the statutory requirement to place income generated from on-street parking and bus lane enforcement into separate reserves. These reserves could only be used to fund certain types of highway and environmental improvements, and provided there was no requirement for the Council to provide additional off street parking or for financial support to existing off street parking. The expected balance on these reserves at the 1 April 2020 was £16.965m. It was estimated that £9.951m would be added to these reserves during 2020/21 and £9.579m used. The reserves were to be used in accordance with the requirements to fund spending in the Neighbourhoods Directorate as well as part of the transport levy.

 

The total planned use of reserves was:

 

Table 7 - Use of Reserves

2020/21

£'000

?Reserves directly supporting the revenue budget:

 

Budget smoothing reserve

7,066

Bus Lane (supporting Transport Levy)

3,092

Social Care Investment Reserve

7,135

Adult Social Care

2,150

Anti Social Behaviour Team Reserve

540

Business Rates Reserve

1,165

Transformation Reserve

333

Sub Total

21,481

Statutory Reserves:

 

Bus Lane Enforcement and Parking reserves

6,487

Other Statutory Reserves

436

Balances Held for PFI's

375

Social Care Reserves :

 

Adult Social Care Reserve

3,395

Reserves held to smooth risk / assurance:

 

Airport Dividend Reserve

47,080

Business Rates Reserve

2,000

Other Reserves held to smooth risk / assurance

3,139

Reserves held to support capital schemes:

 

Capital Fund

10,366

Investment Reserve

2,325

Eastlands Reserve

5,682

Other reserves held to support capital  schemes

1,061

Reserves held to support growth and reform:

 

Better Care Reserve

1,273

Town Hall Reserve

3,185

Our Manchester Reserve

2,556

Other Reserves to support growth and reform

1,332

Grants and Contributions used to meet commitments over more than one year

2,048

Small Specific Reserves

982

Total

115,203

 

The planned uses of the Social Care Investment Reserve and the Adult Social Care were detailed in the report.

 

The Anti-Social Behaviour Team Reserve had arisen from budget amendments considered and approved by the Council in March 2019 (Minute CC/19/18).

 

It was explained that to maintain annual funding of £1.5m to support the Factory/Manchester International Festival it was being proposed that £0.5m be retained in the mainstream budget with the remaining requirement being held in a reserve to cover ten years. This reserve would be increased to the required balance using Council Tax surpluses and Business Rates surpluses. Authority was therefore sought and granted for the Chief Executive and the City Solicitor, in consultation with the Executive Members for Finance and Human Resources and Culture, to enter into a 10 year grant agreement with Manchester International Festival that would be subject to on-going confirmation of the corresponding funding from Arts Council England.

 

The workforce implications of the budget proposals were outlined in the report. The proposals above will require the deletion of 16.4 FTE posts which would be achieved by the deletion of vacant positions. The detailed proposals were set out within the Corporate Core directorate report that was also being considered at the meeting (Minute Exe/20/16 below).

 

Decisions

 

1.         To note that the financial position has been based on the Final Local Government Finance Settlement announced on 6 February together with any further announcements at that date.

 

2.         To note that there has been a review of how the resources available are utilised to support the financial position to best effect, including use of reserves and dividends; consideration of the updated Council Tax and Business Rates position; the financing of capital investment, and the availability and application of grants.

 

3.         To note the anticipated financial position for the Authority for the period of 2019/20 to 2020/21 which was based on all proposals being agreed.

 

4.         To note that the Capital Strategy and Budget 2019/20 to 2023/24 was also presented to this meeting (Minute Exe/20/14 below).

 

5.         To note the Deputy Chief Executive and City Treasurer’s review of the robustness of the estimates and the adequacy of the reserves as set out in the Budget Overview (Minute Exe/20/12 above).

 

6.         To recommend to Council as part of the budget for 2020/21:

 

a)         an increase in the basic amount of Council Tax (i.e. the Council’s element of Council Tax) by 1.99%. The Council has consulted on the 2% Adult Social Care precept increase. If agreed, it is proposed to prioritise this resource to support adults with learning disabilities to help meet the increased need and complexity of residents;

 

b)         the contingency sum of £0.860m;

 

c)         corporate budget requirements to cover levies/charges of £71.327m, capital financing costs of £44.507m, additional allowances and other pension costs of £9.580m and insurance costs of £2.004m;

 

d)         the inflationary pressures and budgets to be allocated sum of £10.271m; and delegate the final allocations to the Deputy Chief Executive and City Treasurer in consultation with the Executive Member for Finance and Human Resources. The Manchester Health and Care Commissioner (MHCC) elements of these costs have already been included in the Pooled Budget. The use of these budgets will be agreed with the MLCO Partnership Board, which has representation from all key partners, along with identifying whether any more formal approvals are required in line with the Council’s key decision thresholds.

 

e)         the estimated utilisation of £9.579m in 2020/21 of the surplus from the on street parking and bus lane enforcement reserves, after determining that any surplus from these reserves is not required to provide additional off street parking in the authority; and

 

f)          the planned use of, and movement in, reserves as identified in the report, subject to the final call on reserves after any changes are required to account for final levies.

 

7.         To recommend that Council approve and adopt the budget for 2020/21.

 

8.         To delegate authority to the Deputy Chief Executive and City Treasurer and Chief Executive to agree the use of the Adult Social Care Reserve in consultation with the Executive Members for Finance and Human Resources and Adult, Health and Wellbeing.

 

9.         To delegate authority to the Deputy Chief Executive and City Treasurer and Chief Executive to agree the use of the Social Care Reserve in consultation with Executive Members for Finance and Human Resources and Children's Services.

 

10.       To authorise the Chief Executive and the City Solicitor, in consultation with the Executive Members for Finance and Human Resources and Culture, to agree the detailed terms of a 10 year grant agreement with Manchester International Festival (MIF), subject to confirmation of funding from Arts Council England (ACE) and having entered into a funding agreement with ACE.

 

11.       To approve the gross and net directorate cash limits as set out in Table 6 above.

 

12.       To approve the in principle contribution to the MHCC Section 75 (S75) Pooled Budget subject to the approval of the S75 Agreement.

 

13.       To delegate authority to the Deputy Chief Executive and City Treasurer and Chief Executive in consultation with the Executive Member for Finance and Human Resources and the Leader of the Council to draft the recommended budget resolution for budget setting Council in accordance with the legal requirements outlined in this report and to take into account the decisions of the Executive and any final changes and other technical adjustments.

 

14.       To note that there is a requirement on the authority to provide an itemised council tax bill which, on the face of the bill, informs taxpayers of that part of any increase in council tax which is being used to fund adult social care; and to provide specific information about the purpose of the council tax increase in the information supplied with demand notices.

 

15.       To approve implementation of new business rate reliefs in 2020/21 as announced by Government, which will increase the retail relief offering, extending it to music venues and cinemas, as well as, the continuation of pub and local newspaper relief.

 

 

Supporting documents: