Issue - meetings

Issue - meetings

Medium Term Financial Plan and 2022/23 Revenue Budget

Meeting: 16/02/2022 - Executive (Item 18)

18 Medium Term Financial Plan and 2022/23 Revenue Budget pdf icon PDF 957 KB

Report of the Deputy Chief Executive and City Treasurer attached

Additional documents:

Minutes:

The Executive considered a report of the Deputy Chief Executive and City Treasurer, which set out the budget proposals for 2022/23 based on the outcome of the Final Local Government Finance Settlement, which had been released on 7 February 2022.

 

The budget report considered at the 17 November 2021 meeting of Executive set out the funding proposals for unavoidable cost pressures to cover the rising costs of inflation and specific service pressures that had been identified, resulting in  £7.7m of efficiency measures required to deliver a balanced budget.  Of these measures £4,017m relates to new savings proposed, these were listed at Appendix 1 of the report.  A further £3.716m related to the following mitigations:

 

·                The Adult Social care budget had been adjusted by £2m for the overestimated impact of the pandemic on care home places. There remained £9.3m to meet the estimated costs of ongoing COVID-19 related demand.

·                Homelessness - It was not expected that the planned £1.7m per annum demand increase that was originally budgeted for 2022/23 would be required and this had now been removed from the budget assumptions, although the position would be kept under review.  To manage risk in this area a £1.5m homelessness contingency reserve remained as well as the £7m which was added to the initial 2021/22 budget to reflect the additional impact of COVID-19 on demand for homelessness services, in anticipation of the impact of the removal of the universal credit uplift and the tenant eviction ban ending.

 

Whilst the Provisional Finance Settlement was at the positive end of expectations and enabled a balanced budget to be proposed, the funding for local government was ‘front loaded’ with all the funding announced as part of the spending review being received in 2022/23 with no further increases in line with inflation or demographic pressures for the following two years.  This put further pressure on 2023/24 and 2024/25 financial years and significant budget cuts would need to be delivered over the Spending Review period to set a balanced budget:-

 

Impact of settlement announcements on budget gap

 

2022/23

2023/24

2024/25

 

£,000

£,000

£,000

Forecast Shortfall / (surplus) reported to Executive 17 November 21

(60)

57,139

78,204

Net Changes following settlement

(479)

(16,209)

(16,607)

Application of additional smoothing

 

(4,076)

(4,000)

Revised forecast Shortfall / (surplus) to Executive 17 January 22

(539)

36,854

57,597

 

The report to 17 January 2022 Executive set out that the funding announced for 2022/23 made available £12m to fund additional pressures, emerging risks and new priorities, and that, in line with the previously agreed approach, this was used across a three-year period  In addition, the draft budget position reflected a tighter estimated financial position and included £7.8m efficiencies and funding for unavoidable and specific budget pressures only. The following reflected these pressures, resident priorities and those in the updated Corporate Plan:-

 

Summary of proposed Investments

 

Total 22/23

Total 23/24

Total 24/25

 

£’000

£’000

£’000

Improving basic services and street cleaning

700

1,700

1,700

Investment in Youth Provision

500

500

500

Zero Carbon investment

800  ...  view the full minutes text for item 18